WAR (Warhammer Online)

So First month is up in a few days.  Lay down your predictions.  Winner gets a Qualtoo coin.

 Oops messed it up. no 60%. 

Use this one instead :)

My prediction is 60%. It's not over reaching. There are lots of people that didn't enjoy enough to stay, but I think there are more that did.

Even so, I don't think its a relative number for the acusition numbers they'll see as the game grows. It's one of the very very very few games to come out -mostly- accepted by the community, and made progress in patches in the first few weeks, and still has many availible avenues to grow on. As time progresses, I think we'll see a large end game culture spur those that weren't convinced and those burned by other games' releases to join in coming months.

But, as to Oct 18th, I think we'll see about 60-70% retention. And that's of the 500K subs. Not the bullocks 750 they are claiming.

it's hard to predict something unpredictable HAHA...that was deep !

 isaid 70%, if they fix open rvr gains/rewards/penalties....it could be higher

Originally posted by miagisan

 isaid 70%, if they fix open rvr gains/rewards/penalties....it could be higher

I said 60% because they REALLY need to do something about low population server and thier RvR is a mess.  Messed up zone control, Scenario bleeding too many out of RvR lakes, the mismanagement of populations and realm imbalance.  Realm imbalance is especially bad because it can make open RvR and few and far between even on a populace server.

So far it looks like people are not fed up enough to just up and leave.  So I say 60%.  If Mythic does/palns something in tomorrows state of the game that addresses these then it might stay there.  Othewise I will predict retnetion will get a lot worse.  Maybe as bad as 40%.  But that will take 1-2 more months and a lot of inaction on Mythics part.

I doubt Mythic will be that inactive but some of the their solutons so far have been well pathetic.  The phase 2 experience thing was super weak.  So who knows.

I said 80%

Even though you won't have an answer..

The game isn't in AoC state (that is, a state were people still playing the game.. really like the game).. but it's not far off as far as people playing the game.. really liking it.  I'm glad to see there are less and less "Wahn Wahn Wahn.. I quit" and more constructive posts.

I chose 70% as well.  The game is ok but does not appeal to everyone.

A perfect MMO (if it were possible to make one) would have a retention of around 80% after the free month

Age of Conan had either 40 or 65% depending on when the 415k sub numbers came from (dont start that debate again please) It took people 2 months to realise that game was horrible and then it dropped really fast

Vanguard / Tabula Rasa / Hellgate London

Those had horrible retentions of between 25-50%

So my guess would be around 55-65% retention for Warhammer since its better than all those but nowhere near perfect. Xfire has an average of around 65% at this moment and will probably lower a bit more when the 19th comes.